Prospect theory and trading patterns
Jing Yao and
Duan Li
Journal of Banking & Finance, 2013, vol. 37, issue 8, 2793-2805
Abstract:
Reference dependence, loss aversion, and risk seeking for losses together comprise the preference-based component of prospect theory that sets its value function apart from the standard risk-aversion model. Using an elasticity analysis, we show that this distinctive preference component serves to underpin negative-feedback trading propensities, but cannot manifest itself in behavior directly or holistically at the individual-choice level. We then propose and demonstrate that the market interaction between prospect-theory investors and regular CRRA investors allows this preference component to dominate in equilibrium behavior and hence helps to reestablish the intuitive link between prospect-theory preferences and negative-feedback trading patterns. In the model, the interaction also reconciles the contrarian behavior of prospect-theory investors with asymmetric volatility and short-term return reversal. The results suggest that prospect-theory preferences can lead investors to behave endogenously as contrarian noise traders in the market interaction process.
Keywords: Prospect theory; Negative-feedback trading; Price elasticity of demand; Contrarian behavior; Disposition effect; Noise trading (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D03 D81 G11 G12 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2013
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (15)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:jbfina:v:37:y:2013:i:8:p:2793-2805
DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2013.04.001
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