The effect of credit guarantees on credit availability and delinquency rates
Kevin Cowan (),
Alejandro Drexler () and
Álvaro Yañez
Journal of Banking & Finance, 2015, vol. 59, issue C, 98-110
Abstract:
We use new data to examine whether credit guarantees affect economic incentives and whether they affect the credit available to small- and medium-size enterprises (SMEs). We find that firms that have both guaranteed and non-guaranteed loans are 1.67% more likely to miss payments on their guaranteed loans, but are not more likely to default on these loans. These findings suggest that guarantees affect firms’ incentives to repay loans but not their long-term performance. We also find that firms selected into the guarantee programs are 1.17% more likely to default on their loans compared with similar firms that borrow without guarantees. Since we find evidence that long-term performance is not affected by guarantees, the higher default rates among firms selected into the guarantee programs must be the consequence of adverse selection. We also find that credit guarantees increase the aggregated amount of credit; in particular, one additional dollar of guarantees increases the total credit for SMEs by US$ 0.65.
Keywords: Banking; Financial intermediation; Guarantees; Credit constraints (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G2 G21 G22 G28 G32 G38 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2015
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (39)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:jbfina:v:59:y:2015:i:c:p:98-110
DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2015.04.024
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