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Commodities momentum: A behavioral perspective

Robert Bianchi, Michael Drew and John Hua Fan

Journal of Banking & Finance, 2016, vol. 72, issue C, 133-150

Abstract: The growth in commodity-related investments has sparked interest in the performance of momentum strategies in these markets. This paper introduces a behavioral proxy of the 52-week high and low momentum that explains a significant proportion of the variation of conventional momentum returns after controlling for commodity specific risk factors. Our findings show that the 52-week high strategy generates significant profits after accounting for transaction costs. We report that the 52-week high strategy is a better predictor of returns than conventional momentum. Our findings suggest that term structure and hedging pressure risk factors provide only a partial explanation of the results.

Keywords: 52-week high momentum; Term structure; Hedging pressure; Conservatism; Adaptive markets; Liquidity (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G13 G14 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (23)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:jbfina:v:72:y:2016:i:c:p:133-150

DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2016.08.002

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