How Regulators Should Use Natural Gas Price Forecasts

Kenneth Costello

The Electricity Journal, vol. 23, issue 7, 54-64

Abstract: Natural gas prices are critical to a range of regulatory decisions covering both electric and gas utilities. Natural gas prices are often a crucial variable in electric generation capacity planning and in the benefit-cost relationship for energy-efficiency programs. High natural gas prices can make coal generation the most economical new source, while low prices can make natural gas generation the most economical. Forecasting is like driving a car blindfolded while following directions given by someone who is looking out of the back window. - Anonymous

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