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Does one Bayesian make a difference?

Manuel Mueller-Frank

Journal of Economic Theory, 2014, vol. 154, issue C, 423-452

Abstract: This paper develops a model of repeated interaction in social networks among agents with differing degrees of sophistication. The focus of the model is observational learning; that is, each agent receives initial private information and makes inferences regarding the private information of others through the repeated interaction with his neighbors in the network. The main question is how well agents aggregate private information through their local interactions. I show that in finite networks consisting exclusively of non-Bayesian (boundedly rational) agents, who revise their choices by averaging over the previous period's observed choices, all agents fail to perfectly aggregate the privately held information. However, the presence of at least one Bayesian agent in a strongly connected network is shown to be generically sufficient for every agent, whether Bayesian or non-Bayesian, to perfectly aggregate the private information of all agents.

Keywords: Social networks; Information aggregation; Bayesian learning; Boundedly rational learning; Social learning; Consensus (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C70 D80 D83 D85 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2014
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (20)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:jetheo:v:154:y:2014:i:c:p:423-452

DOI: 10.1016/j.jet.2014.09.005

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