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Learning with limited memory: Bayesianism vs heuristics

Kalyan Chatterjee and Tai-Wei Hu

Journal of Economic Theory, 2023, vol. 209, issue C

Abstract: Bayesian analysis is considered the optimal way of processing information. However, it often leads to problems for decision-makers with constrained cognitive capacity. Modeling such constrained capacity by finite automata, we answer two questions in the context of Wald's (1947) sequential analysis, namely in what environments is optimal Bayesian analysis possible even with constraints; also, when it is not possible what simplifications in the analysis enable us to obtain a satisfactory outcome. We identify two features of the simplified analysis: information stickiness (ignoring information) and rule stickiness (ignoring small differences in the environment).

Keywords: Imperfect recall; Bounded rationality; Bounded memory; Heuristics; Behavioral biases (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D81 D83 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:jetheo:v:209:y:2023:i:c:s0022053123000388

DOI: 10.1016/j.jet.2023.105642

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