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Time series momentum

Tobias J. Moskowitz, Yao Hua Ooi and Lasse Pedersen

Journal of Financial Economics, 2012, vol. 104, issue 2, 228-250

Abstract: We document significant “time series momentum” in equity index, currency, commodity, and bond futures for each of the 58 liquid instruments we consider. We find persistence in returns for one to 12 months that partially reverses over longer horizons, consistent with sentiment theories of initial under-reaction and delayed over-reaction. A diversified portfolio of time series momentum strategies across all asset classes delivers substantial abnormal returns with little exposure to standard asset pricing factors and performs best during extreme markets. Examining the trading activities of speculators and hedgers, we find that speculators profit from time series momentum at the expense of hedgers.

Keywords: Asset pricing; Trading volume; Futures pricing; International financial markets; Market efficiency (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F37 G12 G13 G15 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2012
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (471)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:jfinec:v:104:y:2012:i:2:p:228-250

DOI: 10.1016/j.jfineco.2011.11.003

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