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Betting against correlation: Testing theories of the low-risk effect

Cliff Asness, Andrea Frazzini, Niels Gormsen and Lasse Pedersen

Journal of Financial Economics, 2020, vol. 135, issue 3, 629-652

Abstract: We test whether the low-risk effect is driven by leverage constraints and, thus, risk should be measured using beta versus behavioral effects and, thus, risk should be measured by idiosyncratic risk. Beta depends on volatility and correlation, with only volatility related to idiosyncratic risk. We introduce a new betting against correlation (BAC) factor that is particularly suited to differentiate between leverage constraints and behavioral explanations. BAC produces strong performance in the US and internationally, supporting leverage constraint theories. Similarly, we construct the new factor SMAX to isolate lottery demand, which also produces positive returns. Consistent with both leverage and lottery theories contributing to the low-risk effect, we find that BAC is related to margin debt while idiosyncratic risk factors are related to sentiment.

Keywords: Asset pricing; Leverage constraints; Lottery demand; Margin; Sentiment (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G02 G12 G14 G15 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (34)

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Working Paper: Betting Against Correlation: Testing Theories of the Low-Risk Effect (2018) Downloads
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:jfinec:v:135:y:2020:i:3:p:629-652

DOI: 10.1016/j.jfineco.2019.07.003

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