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Hedging demand and market intraday momentum

Guido Baltussen, Zhi Da, Sten Lammers and Martin Martens

Journal of Financial Economics, 2021, vol. 142, issue 1, 377-403

Abstract: Hedging short gamma exposure requires trading in the direction of price movements, thereby creating price momentum. Using intraday returns on over 60 futures on equities, bonds, commodities, and currencies between 1974 and 2020, we find strong market intraday momentum everywhere. The return during the last 30 minutes before the market close is positively predicted by the return during the rest of the day (from previous market close to the last 30 minutes). The predictive power is economically and statistically highly significant, and reverts over the next days. We provide novel evidence that links market intraday momentum to the gamma hedging demand from market participants such as market makers of options and leveraged ETFs.

Keywords: Return momentum; Futures trading; Hedging demand; Return predictability; Indexing (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G12 G15 G40 Q02 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (12)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:jfinec:v:142:y:2021:i:1:p:377-403

DOI: 10.1016/j.jfineco.2021.04.029

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