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Innovation in the pharmaceutical industry: New estimates of R&D costs

Joseph DiMasi (), Henry G. Grabowski and Ronald W. Hansen

Journal of Health Economics, 2016, vol. 47, issue C, 20-33

Abstract: The research and development costs of 106 randomly selected new drugs were obtained from a survey of 10 pharmaceutical firms. These data were used to estimate the average pre-tax cost of new drug and biologics development. The costs of compounds abandoned during testing were linked to the costs of compounds that obtained marketing approval. The estimated average out-of-pocket cost per approved new compound is $1395 million (2013 dollars). Capitalizing out-of-pocket costs to the point of marketing approval at a real discount rate of 10.5% yields a total pre-approval cost estimate of $2558 million (2013 dollars). When compared to the results of the previous study in this series, total capitalized costs were shown to have increased at an annual rate of 8.5% above general price inflation. Adding an estimate of post-approval R&D costs increases the cost estimate to $2870 million (2013 dollars).

Keywords: Innovation; R&D cost; Pharmaceutical industry; Discount rate; Technical success rates (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: L65 O31 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (158)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:jhecon:v:47:y:2016:i:c:p:20-33

DOI: 10.1016/j.jhealeco.2016.01.012

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Journal of Health Economics is currently edited by J. P. Newhouse, A. J. Culyer, R. Frank, K. Claxton and T. McGuire

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