Resolving the milk addiction paradox

Davide Dragone and Davide Raggi

Journal of Health Economics, 2021, vol. 77, issue C

Abstract: The milk addiction paradox refers to an empirical finding in which consumption of non-addictive commodities such as milk appears to be consistent with the theory of rational addiction. This paradoxical result seems more likely when consumption is persistent and with aggregate data. Using both simulated and real data, we show that the milk addiction paradox disappears when estimating the data using an AR(1) linear specification that describes the saddle-path solution of the rational addiction model, instead of the canonical AR(2) model. The AR(1) specification is able to correctly discriminate between rational addiction and simple persistence in the data, to test for the main features of rational addiction, and to produce unbiased estimates of the short and long-run elasticity of demand. These results hold both with individual and aggregated data, and they imply that the AR(1) model is a better empirical alternative for testing rational addiction than the canonical AR(2) model.

Keywords: Adjacent complementarity; Forward-looking behavior; Milk addiction; Rational addiction; Spurious correlation (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D12 I12 L66 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

Downloads: (external link)
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0167629621000370
Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

Related works:
Working Paper: Solving the Milk Addiction Paradox (2020)
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:jhecon:v:77:y:2021:i:c:s0167629621000370

DOI: 10.1016/j.jhealeco.2021.102452

Access Statistics for this article

Journal of Health Economics is currently edited by J. P. Newhouse, A. J. Culyer, R. Frank, K. Claxton and T. McGuire

More articles in Journal of Health Economics from Elsevier
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Catherine Liu ().