A structural model for the housing and credit market in Italy
Andrea Nobili () and
Journal of Housing Economics, 2017, vol. 36, issue C, 73-87
In this paper we estimate a fully-fledged structural system for the housing market in Italy, taking into account the multi-fold link with bank lending to both households and construction firms. The model allows the house supply to vary in the short-run and the banking sector to affect the equilibrium in the housing market, through its effect on housing supply and demand. We show that house prices react mostly to standard drivers such as, disposable income and demographic pressures. Lending conditions also exert a significant impact, especially through their effects on mortgage loans, and consequently on housing demand. Allowing short-run adjustment in house supply implies a weaker response of house prices to a change in monetary policy or in banks’ deleveraging process. Finally, we find that since the mid-80s house price developments in Italy have been broadly in line with fundamentals; during the global financial crisis, the worsening in credit supply conditions dampened house price dynamics, partly offsetting the positive stimulus provided by the loosing monetary policy stance.
Keywords: House prices; Credit; System of simultaneous equations (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E51 E52 G21 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: Track citations by RSS feed
Downloads: (external link)
Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
Working Paper: A structural model for the housing and credit markets in Italy (2012)
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.
Export reference: BibTeX
RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan)
Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:jhouse:v:36:y:2017:i:c:p:73-87
Access Statistics for this article
Journal of Housing Economics is currently edited by H. O. Pollakowski
More articles in Journal of Housing Economics from Elsevier
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Dana Niculescu ().