Economics at your fingertips  

An international study on the impact of corruption on analysts’ forecasts

Emmanuel Mamatzakis

Journal of International Accounting, Auditing and Taxation, 2022, vol. 48, issue C

Abstract: This study investigates the impact of corruption on financial analysts’ forecast accuracy and forecast uncertainty. I employ an international sample of 71 countries classified into two subsamples of advanced economies and emerging and developing economies to capture underlying heterogeneity. The empirical methodology involves a dynamic panel analysis that tests for persistence while it controls for endogeneity. The main finding shows that corruption increases forecast uncertainty and reduces forecast accuracy, though some variability is observed across countries. Given the complexities of the underlying relationships, I also investigate two other channels through which corruption could affect analysts’ forecasts using interactions terms with earnings management and rule of law. Earnings management amplifies the negative impact of corruption on forecast accuracy, whereas the rule of law mitigates it. Robustness analysis further demonstrates that anti-corruption policy interventions, such as enhancing legal enforcement and providing greater freedom, improve analysts’ forecast accuracy.

Keywords: Analysts’ earnings forecasts; Corruption; Earnings management; Rule of law (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D7 D73 G17 G18 M4 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: Track citations by RSS feed

Downloads: (external link)
Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link:

DOI: 10.1016/j.intaccaudtax.2022.100486

Access Statistics for this article

Journal of International Accounting, Auditing and Taxation is currently edited by R. Larson

More articles in Journal of International Accounting, Auditing and Taxation from Elsevier
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Catherine Liu ().

Page updated 2023-01-17
Handle: RePEc:eee:jiaata:v:48:y:2022:i:c:s1061951822000416