Exchange rate pass-through to Japanese prices: Import prices, producer prices, and the core CPI

Yuri Sasaki, Yushi Yoshida and Piotr Kansho Otsubo

Journal of International Money and Finance, 2022, vol. 123, issue C

Abstract: Against the background of the two percent inflation target that Japan set in 2013, we investigate the impediments in the process of passing on exchange rate fluctuations to the core consumer price index. To this end, we construct the industry-level nominal effective exchange rate and industry-level producer price indices, which are matched with the industry classifications used for import price indices. Time-varying parameter vector autoregression analysis reveals that, in general, exchange rate pass-throughs increased, especially after the global financial crisis. Among the pass-throughs that occur at each stage of the import price, domestic producer price, and consumer price, we find that the weakest link exists between the import price and domestic producer price. However, the impact on the within-industry effect is not negligible; the small spillover effect on other industries at the producer price stage prevents consumer prices from rising after depreciation.

Keywords: Exchange rate pass-through (ERPT); Industry-wise effective exchange rate; Inflation targeting; Time-varying parameter VAR; Unconventional monetary policy (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E31 F31 F41 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (9)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:jimfin:v:123:y:2022:i:c:s026156062200002x

DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2022.102599

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