The economic consequences of fiscal rules

Niklas Potrafke

Journal of International Money and Finance, 2025, vol. 153, issue C

Abstract: Fiscal rules are controversial. They mitigate politicians' flexibility in responding to shocks and pursuing expansionary fiscal policy. They help, however, to handle politicians' commitment problem in fiscal policies. I portray the new and fast growing empirical literature in public economics that examines the economic consequences of fiscal rules. The survey encompasses the literature on fiscal rules at the national, sub-national and local level. The results show that fiscal rules reduce budget deficits, public spending and borrowing costs and increase GDP growth. The results do not suggest that fiscal rules decrease public investment. Future research should examine in more detail the unintended effects of fiscal rules such as how they relate to creative accounting.

Keywords: Fiscal rules (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: H50 H60 H70 N10 O10 R10 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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Working Paper: The Economic Consequences of Fiscal Rules (2023)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:jimfin:v:153:y:2025:i:c:s026156062500021x

DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2025.103286

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