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Firm’s aging perception and debt leverage: A textual analysis

Qin Wang, Tong Liu, Dongmin Kong and Wenzhe Zhang

Journal of International Money and Finance, 2025, vol. 153, issue C

Abstract: This paper examines the effect of firms’ perceptions of population aging on corporate capital structure at the firm level. We construct a novel aging indicator for firms using textual analysis of the annual reports of China’s A-share listed firms. We find that firms perceiving greater aging tend to have lower leverage. This negative impact exhibits heterogeneity, with a more pronounced effect observed among non-state-owned enterprises, those located in areas with advanced economic development, as well as among labor-intensive and non-high-tech firms. The plausible mechanisms involve operating risks and financing constraints. Additionally, automation, as a way of factor substitution to address demographic changes, may alleviate the resulting negative impact on leverage. By revealing the significant effect of aging on corporate financing decisions, our study has clear implications for firms and regulators concerned with this demographic transition and improves the understanding of the sociodemographic influence on corporate activities.

Keywords: Aging; Corporate debt leverage; Textual analysis (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G31 G32 J11 J21 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:jimfin:v:153:y:2025:i:c:s0261560625000300

DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2025.103295

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