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Global and local drivers of Bitcoin trading vis-à-vis fiat currencies

Paola Di Casola, Maurizio Michael Habib and David Tercero-Lucas

Journal of International Money and Finance, 2025, vol. 158, issue C

Abstract: We analyse global and local drivers of Bitcoin transactions against 45 fiat currencies in the largest peer-to-peer crypto exchanges. Global factors, such as momentum in the crypto-asset market or financial market volatility, do matter for Bitcoin trading. There is evidence of a global crypto cycle driven by speculative motives. Trading across currencies and users around the world moves in tandem with fluctuations in the Bitcoin price. Crypto shocks and global risk shocks are behind this cyclical comovement. Crucially, Bitcoin seems to also offer utility benefits in emerging and developing economies, since trading increases after idiosyncratic, currency-specific shocks that depreciate the currency. Local projections analysis and case studies confirm this important link between exchange rate instability and Bitcoin transactions.

Keywords: Digital currencies; Bitcoin; Peer-to-peer exchanges; Exchange rates; Emerging markets (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E42 F21 F24 F32 F38 G15 O33 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:jimfin:v:158:y:2025:i:c:s0261560625001408

DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2025.103405

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