The role of financial development in exchange rate regime choices

Shu Lin and Haichun Ye

Journal of International Money and Finance, 2011, vol. 30, issue 4, 641-659

Abstract: We make the first attempt in the literature to empirically investigate the role of financial development in the choice of exchange rate regimes. Using a binary choice model, we first show that financially less developed countries are more likely to adopt a fixed exchange rate. To further examine the impact of financial development on the conditional probability of exiting from an existing pegged system to a flexible one, we then employ hazard-based duration analysis. We find strong evidence that countries with higher levels of financial development are more likely to exit a pegged system, and, interestingly, financial development only matters to orderly exits but not disorderly exits. Our results are robust to controlling for endogeneity and sample selection.

Keywords: Exchange; rate; regimes; Financial; development; Duration; analysis; Hazard; Competing; risks (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2011
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (9)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:jimfin:v:30:y:2011:i:4:p:641-659

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