Exchange rate pass-through into import prices revisited: What drives it?
Raphael Brun-Aguerre,
Ana-Maria Fuertes and
Kate Phylaktis
Journal of International Money and Finance, 2012, vol. 31, issue 4, 818-844
Abstract:
A large sample of developed and emerging economies is utilized to investigate import exchange rate pass-through. Panel models reveal that various economic aspects of the destination country can explain about one third of the total variation in pass-through elasticities and the remaining variation comes largely in the form of unobserved country-specific effects. Inflation, exchange rate volatility, openness and relative wealth play a clear role as drivers of emerging markets’ pass-through whereas the output gap and protectionism appear influential more generally. Nonlinearity regarding large-versus-small changes in the exchange rate is quite pervasive. Our evidence challenges the widely-held view that pass-through has been universally falling in developed markets and that it is higher for emerging markets. The economic drivers are shown to play a role as out-of-sample predictors of pass-through. The findings confirm pricing-to-market theories and have implications for the optimal conduct of monetary policy.
Keywords: Pass-through; Exchange rate; Asymmetry; Prices; Emerging markets; Protectionism (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F10 F14 F30 F31 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2012
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (61)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:jimfin:v:31:y:2012:i:4:p:818-844
DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2012.01.009
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