Does government ideology matter in monetary policy? A panel data analysis for OECD countries

Ansgar Belke and Niklas Potrafke

Journal of International Money and Finance, 2012, vol. 31, issue 5, 1126-1139

Abstract: This paper examines whether government ideology has influenced monetary policy in OECD countries. We use quarterly data in the 1980.1–2005.4 period and exclude EMU countries. Our Taylor-rule specification focuses on the interactions of a new time-variant index of central bank independence with government ideology. The results show that leftist governments have somewhat lower short-term nominal interest rates than rightwing governments when central bank independence is low. In contrast, short-term nominal interest rates are higher under leftist governments when central bank independence is high. The effect is more pronounced when exchange rates are flexible. Our findings are compatible with the view that leftist governments, in an attempt to deflect blame of their traditional constituencies, have pushed market-oriented policies by delegating monetary policy to conservative central bankers.

Keywords: Monetary policy; Taylor rule; Government ideology; Partisan politics; Central bank independence; Panel data (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C23 D72 E52 E58 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2012
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (66)

Downloads: (external link)
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0261560611001999
Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

Related works:
Working Paper: Does government ideology matter in monetary policy? A panel data analysis for OECD countries (2012)
Working Paper: Does Government Ideology Matter in Monetary Policy?: A Panel Data Analysis for OECD Countries (2011)
Working Paper: Does Government Ideology Matter in Monetary Policy? A Panel Data Analysis for OECD Countries (2011)
Working Paper: Does Government Ideology Matter in Monetary Policy? – A Panel Data Analysis for OECD Countries (2009)
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:jimfin:v:31:y:2012:i:5:p:1126-1139

DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2011.12.014

Access Statistics for this article

Journal of International Money and Finance is currently edited by J. R. Lothian

More articles in Journal of International Money and Finance from Elsevier
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Catherine Liu ().