Are fiscal deficits inflationary?

Hsin-Yi Lin and Hao-Pang Chu

Journal of International Money and Finance, 2013, vol. 32, issue C, 214-233

Abstract: This paper applies the dynamic panel quantile regression (DPQR) model under the autoregressive distributional lag (ARDL) specification, and examines the deficit–inflation relationship in 91 countries from 1960 to 2006. The DPQR model estimates the impact of deficits on inflation at various inflation levels and allows for a dynamic adjustment with the ARDL specification. The empirical results show that the fiscal deficit has a strong impact on inflation in high-inflation episodes, and has a weak impact in low-inflation episodes. The results imply that fiscal consolidation would be more effective in price stabilization the higher the inflation rate is, and are consistent with the theoretical model of Catão and Terrones (2005).

Keywords: Autoregressive distributional lag; Dynamic panel data; Fiscal deficits; Inflation; Quantile regression (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E31 E60 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2013
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (60)

Downloads: (external link)
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0261560612000836
Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:jimfin:v:32:y:2013:i:c:p:214-233

DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2012.04.006

Access Statistics for this article

Journal of International Money and Finance is currently edited by J. R. Lothian

More articles in Journal of International Money and Finance from Elsevier
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Catherine Liu ().