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Private information, capital flows, and exchange rates

Jacob Gyntelberg (), Mico Loretan () and Tientip Subhanij

Journal of International Money and Finance, 2018, vol. 81, issue C, 40-55

Abstract: Not all international capital flows influence exchange rates equally. Capital flows induced by foreign investors’ transactions in local stock markets have an impact on exchange rates that is economically significant and permanent, whereas capital flows induced by investors’ transactions in local government bond markets do not. The differences in price impacts are related to differences in the amounts of private information conveyed by these flows. Our findings are based on daily-frequency data on all transactions undertaken by foreign investors in the stock, bond, and onshore FX markets of Thailand over a period of nearly two years.

Keywords: Order flow; Private information; Exchange rate models; Market microstructure; Emerging markets (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C22 E58 F31 F37 G14 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018
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Related works:
Working Paper: Private information, capital flows, and exchange rates (2015) Downloads
Working Paper: Private Information, Capital Flows, and Exchange Rates (2012) Downloads
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