The RMB central parity formation mechanism: August 2015 to December 2016
Cho-Hoi Hui and
Andrew Tsang ()
Journal of International Money and Finance, 2018, vol. 86, issue C, 223-243
We study the renminbi (RMB) central parity formation mechanism following the August 2015 reform using statistical models. We identify the roles of the onshore and offshore RMB exchange rates and the US dollar index in determining the central parity in a linear regression framework. The effect of the RMB currency basket index, however, is revealed after controlling for multiplicative offshore RMB volatility effects. The offshore RMB volatility exerts a dampening effect on the links between the central parity and its determinants. In the prediction comparison exercise, the three selected models statistically outperform the random walk benchmark. Among these four models, the selected multiplicative specification yields the smallest root-mean squared prediction error and mean absolute prediction error.
Keywords: China’s exchange rate policy; Currency basket; Multiplicative interaction model; Onshore and offshore RMB rates; Volatility (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F31 F33 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2) Track citations by RSS feed
Downloads: (external link)
Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
Working Paper: The RMB Central Parity Formation Mechanism: August 2015 to December 2016 (2018)
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.
Export reference: BibTeX
RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan)
Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:jimfin:v:86:y:2018:i:c:p:223-243
Access Statistics for this article
Journal of International Money and Finance is currently edited by J. R. Lothian
More articles in Journal of International Money and Finance from Elsevier
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Haili He ().