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Monetary policy shocks and foreign investment income: Evidence from a large Bayesian VAR

Simone Auer ()

Journal of International Money and Finance, 2019, vol. 93, issue C, 142-166

Abstract: This paper assesses the transmission of monetary policy in a large Bayesian vector autoregression based on the approach proposed by Banbura et al. (2010). The paper analyzes the impact of monetary policy shocks in the United States and Canada not only on a range of domestic aggregates, trade flows, and exchange rates, but also foreign investment income. The analysis provides three main results. First, a surprise monetary policy contraction has a statistically important impact on both gross and net foreign investment income flows in both countries. Against the background of growing foreign wealth and investment income, this result provides preliminary evidence that foreign balance-sheet channels might play an increasingly significant role for monetary transmission. Second, the impact of monetary policy on foreign investment income flows differs considerably across asset categories and over time, suggesting that the investment instruments and the currency denomination of a country’s foreign assets and liabilities are potentially relevant for the way in which monetary policy affects the domestic economy. Finally, the results support existing evidence on the effectiveness of large vector autoregressions and the Bayesian shrinkage approach in eliminating price and exchange rate puzzles.

Keywords: Monetary policy transmission; Foreign investment income; Bayesian VAR (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E52 F41 F42 C53 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2019
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Related works:
Working Paper: Monetary policy shocks and foreign investment income: evidence from a large Bayesian VAR (2014) Downloads
Working Paper: Monetary Policy Shocks and Foreign Investment Income: Evidence from a large Bayesian VAR (2014) Downloads
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