Yen-synchronization of floating East Asian currencies: A regime-switching regression model and micro-structural analysis

Bong-Han Kim, Hong-Ghi Min, Judy McDonald and Young-Soon Hwang

Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, 2012, vol. 26, issue 2, 221-232

Abstract: Using a regime-switching regression model, we find evidence of synchronization between the Swiss-franc exchange rates of floating East Asian currencies and the Swiss-franc–Japanese-yen exchange rate over the period 1999–2006. The volatility of Swiss-franc–East-Asian currencies’ exchange rates is higher during the synchronization period than during the de-synchronization period. Contrary to traditional arguments concerning the yen-bloc, we find that the Export-Similarity Index and Foreign Portfolio Investment between Japan and East Asian countries are the two main determinants of yen-synchronization in the region. Finally, micro-structural analysis shows that the weeks of synchronization is greater when the yen is strong for Korea and Taiwan, but there are no asymmetric responses for Thailand, Indonesia, or the Philippines.

Keywords: Export similarity; Foreign Portfolio Investment; FDI; Yen-synchronization; Markov-switching regression model; Yen bloc (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F21 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2012
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (5)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:jjieco:v:26:y:2012:i:2:p:221-232

DOI: 10.1016/j.jjie.2012.01.002

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