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VECM estimations of the PPP reversion rate revisited: The conventional role of relative price adjustment restored

Hyeongwoo Kim ()

Journal of Macroeconomics, 2012, vol. 34, issue 1, 223-238

Abstract: Cheung et al. (2004) use a vector error correction model (VECM) for the current float nominal exchange rate and relative price data and claim that the sluggish purchasing power parity (PPP) reversion is primarily driven by the nominal exchange rate, not by relative price adjustment, which is at odds with the conventional sticky-price models. Our major findings are as follows. First, we suggest cases where VECMs are of limited usefulness, even when all the variables in the system are not weakly exogenous. Second, using century-long exchange rates, we find that the relative price plays an important role for PPP reversion when real shocks occur. Third, protracted hump-shaped responses of real exchange rates are frequently observed when there is a relative price shock, leading to sluggish adjustments toward PPP. Nominal exchange rate shocks generate humped dynamics much less frequently.

Keywords: Purchasing power parity; Convergence rate; Half-life; Up-life; Quarter-life; Hump-shaped response; Variance decomposition (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C32 F31 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2012
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Working Paper: VECM estimations of the PPP reversion rate revisited: the conventional role of relative price adjustment restored (2011) Downloads
Working Paper: VECM Estimations of the PPP Reversion Rate Revisited: The Conventional Role of Relative Price Adjustment Restored (2010) Downloads
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:jmacro:v:34:y:2012:i:1:p:223-238

DOI: 10.1016/j.jmacro.2011.10.004

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