 State-dependent effects of fiscal policy in Japan: Do rule-of-thumb households increase the effects of fiscal policy?Hiroshi Morita Journal of Macroeconomics, 2015, vol. 43, issue C, 49-61 Abstract: This study empirically investigates whether macroeconomic effects of fiscal policy are affected by the existence of rule-of-thumb households in Japan. Motivated by existing theoretical formulations, we estimate a consumption function as extended to a Markov switching model and divide the sample period into two parts depending on the share of rule-of-thumb (ROT) households. Subsequently, we estimate a Vector Autoregression (VAR) model to investigate the effects of two types of fiscal policy shock: unanticipated and anticipated. The results are subjected to robustness checks and reveal that the share of ROT households rises after large negative shocks (i.e., oil shock, economic bubble burst, Lehman shock), and then (unanticipated) fiscal policy shock stimulates private consumption more effectively in the high ROT households’ period. Keywords: Fiscal policy; State-dependence; Rule-of-thumb household; Markov-switching (search for similar items in EconPapers) Downloads: (external link) Related works: Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:jmacro:v:43:y:2015:i:c:p:49-61 DOI: 10.1016/j.jmacro.2014.09.002 Access Statistics for this article Journal of Macroeconomics is currently edited by Douglas McMillin and Theodore Palivos More articles in Journal of Macroeconomics from Elsevier |
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