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On the welfare implications of nominal GDP targeting

Huiying Chen

Journal of Macroeconomics, 2021, vol. 69, issue C

Abstract: This paper examines the welfare implications of a nominal GDP growth targeting rule, a nominal GDP level targeting rule, and inflation targeting regime in a New Keynesian model featuring positive trend inflation, two measures of welfare, and both high and low growth environments. The paper finds that (i) in general, nominal GDP growth targeting dominates other rules with changes in all dimensions; (ii) nominal GDP growth targeting framework is superior to the level targeting regime for most scenarios; (iii) inflation targeting is preferred to nominal GDP level targeting regime, but to minimize short-run fluctuations, the latter is advantageous; (iv) nominal GDP level targeting may be desirable only in a low growth environment with both low inflation indexation and consumption equivalence criteria. The simulation results provide solid evidence to policy makers on the desirability of nominal GDP growth targeting.

Keywords: Nominal GDP targeting; Inflation targeting; Welfare loss; Trend growth (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E31 E50 E52 E58 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:jmacro:v:69:y:2021:i:c:s0164070421000410

DOI: 10.1016/j.jmacro.2021.103336

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