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Age-specific entrepreneurship and PAYG: Public pensions in Germany

Burkhard Heer and Mark Trede

Journal of Macroeconomics, 2023, vol. 75, issue C

Abstract: We present new empirical evidence on the distribution of earnings, income and wealth among entrepreneurs in Germany. We document that both earnings and income are more concentrated among entrepreneurs than among workers and describe a large-scale overlapping-generations model that replicates the age-earnings profiles of these two household types. As an application, we compute the equilibrium effects of a reform of the German pay-as-you-go pension system in which entrepreneurs must also contribute and receive a pension. We show that in the presence of mobility between workers and entrepreneurs, the expected lifetime utility of all newborn households unanimously declines due to the general equilibrium effects of lower aggregate savings, and welfare losses amount to approximately 0.7% of total consumption. In addition, the integration of self-employed workers into the social security system in Germany does not help to improve its fiscal sustainability, and only an increase in the retirement age to 70 years will help to finance pensions at the present level beyond the year 2050.

Keywords: Entrepreneurship; Aging; Income distribution; Overlapping generations; Social security; Fiscal sustainability (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C68 D15 D31 H55 J11 L26 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
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Working Paper: Age-Specific Entrepreneurship and PAYG Public Pensions in Germany (2020) Downloads
Working Paper: Age-Specific Entrepreneurship and PAYG Public Pensions in Germany (2020) Downloads
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:jmacro:v:75:y:2023:i:c:s0164070422000817

DOI: 10.1016/j.jmacro.2022.103488

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