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The quantile dependence of the stock returns of “clean” and “dirty” firms on oil demand and supply shocks

Yacouba Kassouri and Halil Altıntaş

Journal of Commodity Markets, 2022, vol. 28, issue C

Abstract: The paper examines the degree to which firms' stock returns in the energy and technology sectors depend on oil demand and supply shocks by accounting for quantile dependence in shock transmission and causal linkages. Using monthly time-series data from January 2004 to December 2017, our evidence shows that the substitution between oil and clean commodities occurs only in the long-run when the oil market is subject to demand-driven shocks. Unlike oil demand shocks, we demonstrate that oil supply shocks display a relatively lower predictive power for the clean energy stock returns. We also report that firms in the dirty energy sectors display lower returns mainly due to their exposure to exogenous oil shocks, while firms in clean energy and technology sectors are more resilient to demand shocks as their exhibit positive returns in the long-run. Our findings provide evidence and guidance about investments opportunities in clean assets.

Keywords: Oil price shocks; Energy stock returns; Technology stock returns (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C58 G15 Q42 Q55 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:jocoma:v:28:y:2022:i:c:s2405851321000714

DOI: 10.1016/j.jcomm.2021.100238

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