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Examining the asymmetric impact of macroeconomic policy in the UAE: Evidence from quartile impulse responses and machine learning

Efstathios Polyzos

The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, 2022, vol. 26, issue C

Abstract: The current paper examines the asymmetric effects of changes to monetary and fiscal variables on different types of firms in the UAE. We compute impulse responses based on local projections and select shock and switching variables using machine learning. We examine 180 firms listed in the UAE exchanges and find significant asymmetries among financial and non-financial firms and among low- and high-debt firms when there is a shock to macroeconomic monetary or fiscal variables. Quartile analysis shows that firms belonging to the first and last quartile of debt respond negatively to expansionary policies, while middle-quartile firms respond more positively. Our results demonstrate the importance of comprehending the heterogeneity in the micro characteristics of the underlying corporate environment when evaluating macroeconomic policies. Our work can facilitate the design and implementation of policy in the UAE and helps explain the transmission mechanisms towards corporations.

Keywords: Fiscal policy; Monetary policy; Cross-firm asymmetries; Debt; United Arab Emirates (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E52 E63 G32 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:joecas:v:26:y:2022:i:c:s1703494922000275

DOI: 10.1016/j.jeca.2022.e00267

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