Investor behavior in the currency option market during the COVID-19 pandemic
Wael Dammak,
Nahla Boutouria,
Salah Ben Hamad and
Christian de Peretti
The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, 2023, vol. 28, issue C
Abstract:
This study investigates the COVID-19 pandemic's impact on investor behavior in the currency options market, emphasizing its relationship with underlying exchange rates. Using a sample of daily data from select futures continuous calls from September 22, 2016, to December 31, 2021, we introduce a novel variable, “market imperfections,” to quantify the gap between observed and theoretical currency option prices based on the Garman and Kohlhagen model. Through the application of a Markov switching model, we identify pandemic-related changes in investor behavior, characterized by patterns of divergence and convergence. Our research distinguishes between two key behavioral types in the market: fundamentalists and chartists. This study enriches the literature by clarifying how crises, specifically the COVID-19 period, influence investor dynamics and affect market responses. Overall, we provide critical insights into the factors shaping behavior during challenging periods.
Keywords: Behavioural finance; Market imperfections; Garman and Kohlhagen's model; Two-state Markov switching model; Fundamentalists and chartists; COVID-19 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F37 G01 G15 G41 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)
Downloads: (external link)
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S170349492300049X
Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.
Export reference: BibTeX
RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan)
HTML/Text
Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:joecas:v:28:y:2023:i:c:s170349492300049x
DOI: 10.1016/j.jeca.2023.e00337
Access Statistics for this article
The Journal of Economic Asymmetries is currently edited by A.G. Malliaris
More articles in The Journal of Economic Asymmetries from Elsevier
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Catherine Liu ().