Design, reliability and validity of a computer ageing simulation technique

Paul R Sparrow

Omega, 1987, vol. 15, issue 3, 239-246

Abstract: Details are given of a Computer Ageing Simulation Technique (CAST) which was developed for a large UK multinational company to diagnose age-related performance problems in its workforce. The technique involved a manpower simulation of 4295 people at a manufacturing plant over a ten year projection period, from 1981 to 1991. Reliability and validity were checked after a two year period, and found to be significant. The paper focusses on the design principles of a strategic human resource planning system, the benefits of using social and economic data to predict supply and demand for labour, and the importance of reliability and validity. It is concluded that CAST represents a valuable management tool. Age-related problems can be strategically assessed, and the effectiveness of a number of human resource flow policies tested out.

Date: 1987
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