Modeling of container throughput in Northern Adriatic ports over the period 1990–2013

Elen Twrdy and Milan Batista

Journal of Transport Geography, 2016, vol. 52, issue C, 131-142

Abstract: This study presents dynamic models to forecast container throughput in the North Adriatic ports of Koper, Trieste, Venice, Ravenna, and Rijeka. Based on the numbers derived, we found a simple but efficient model to forecast the likelihood of increasing or decreasing traffic from year to year. The models are prepared based on available data; they are the Markov-chain annual growth rate model, a time-series trend model, a time-series trend model with periodical terms, and the gray system model. In the second part of the study, we explore a model for analyzing cooperation/competition relationships between these ports using a generalized Lotka–Volterra dynamic system.

Keywords: North Adriatic ports; Container throughput; Modeling (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (12)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:jotrge:v:52:y:2016:i:c:p:131-142

DOI: 10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2016.03.005

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