Modeling commuter modal shift from car trips to cycling: Scenario construction and outcomes for Stockholm, Sweden

Magnus Strömgren, Peter Schantz, Johan Nilsson Sommar, Wasif Raza, Anders Markstedt and Bertil Forsberg

Journal of Transport Geography, 2020, vol. 86, issue C

Abstract: This article presents the construction and outcomes of scenarios modeling commuter modal shift from car trips to cycling in the metropolitan region of Stockholm, the capital of Sweden. Building and improving upon previous studies in terms of both methodological approach and degree of spatial resolution of the modeling output, we examine scenarios where car commuters able to reach their workplace within 30 and 50 minutes of cycling shift commuting mode. Overall, car–bicycle modal shift figures were 31.6% and 48.7%, respectively. However, there were considerable geographical differences. While a substantial number of new bicycle commuters appeared in all five macro-level subdivisions of the study area, relative modal shift was by far the highest among car commuters living in the Inner City and its immediate surroundings.

Keywords: Cycling; Modal shift; Commuting (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:jotrge:v:86:y:2020:i:c:s0966692319305447

DOI: 10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2020.102740

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