India's demand for international reserve and monetary disequilibrium: Reserve adequacy under floating regime

Ritesh Mishra () and Chandan Sharma

Journal of Policy Modeling, 2011, vol. 33, issue 6, 901-919

Abstract: The main aim of this study is to investigate India's demand for international reserve by focusing on the role of national monetary disequilibrium and to present new benchmarks for assessing the adequacy of international reserves. We assessed India's position in terms of reserve adequacy and found that India is well placed and has sufficient stock of international reserves to meet the minimum adequacy requirements. Also, the results reveal that the central bank is holding substantial excess reserves and the related opportunity cost (1.5% of GDP) appears to be quite considerable. Further, the estimates of reserve demand function suggest that scale of foreign trade, uncertainty and profitability considerations play significant role in determining India's long-term reserve demand policies. More importantly, validating the monetary approach to balance of payment, our results show that national monetary disequilibrium does play a crucial role in short-run reserve movements. An excess of money demand (supply) induces an inflow (outflow) of international reserves with an elasticity of 0.56 which also implies that Reserve Bank of India responds to correct the domestic money market disequilibrium; and did not just leave it completely on the mercy of reserve inflows.

Keywords: Reserve adequacy; Opportunity cost; National monetary disequilibrium; GARCH; India (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C22 F31 F32 F4 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2011
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (5)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:jpolmo:v:33:y:2011:i:6:p:901-919

DOI: 10.1016/j.jpolmod.2011.03.005

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