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The margins of export competition: A new approach to evaluating the impact of China on South African exports to Sub-Saharan Africa

Lawrence Edwards and Rhys Jenkins

Journal of Policy Modeling, 2014, vol. 36, issue S1, S132-S150

Abstract: Chinese manufacturing exports to Sub-Saharan Africa challenge South Africa's economic influence in the region. To evaluate this, the paper develops and applies a conceptual framework that distinguishes between the intensive and extensive margins of Chinese export competition. South African exports of new and existing manufactured products to Sub-Saharan Africa are found to have been negatively affected by Chinese competition relative to exports from other countries. Consequently, South Africa's exports to the region in 2010 were 20% lower than they would have been if they had been affected to the same degree as other countries. The crowding-out effects are found to be strongest in medium- and low-technology products. Overall, the data suggest that Chinese exports of manufactures have diminished South Africa's participation and economic influence in the region.

Keywords: South Africa; China; Sub-Saharan Africa; Export competition (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F14 F50 O24 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2014
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (16)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:jpolmo:v:36:y:2014:i:s1:p:s132-s150

DOI: 10.1016/j.jpolmod.2013.10.003

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