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Credit access, macroprudential rules and policy interventions: Lessons for potential first time buyers

Kieran McQuinn, O’Toole, Conor and Rachel Slaymaker
Authors registered in the RePEc Author Service: Conor M. O'Toole

Journal of Policy Modeling, 2021, vol. 43, issue 5, 944-963

Abstract: Given the increased popularity of macroprudential measures in the aftermath of the great financial crisis (GFC), a key policy question to arise in certain mortgage markets is whether a significant access to credit issue exists amongst prospective homeowners because of these new policies. In this paper we assess whether such a problem arises in the context of the Irish mortgage market – a market particularly adversely impacted by the GFC. We use a microsimulation model to estimate the level of latent credit demand that could be serviced by the market given prudent credit risk assessment and the current macroprudential regulations. We then compare this demand to current market provision to explore whether a credit gap exists. Finally, we simulate how a public mortgage credit scheme or equity “help-to-buy” type instrument may help credit access. We find both instruments to be effective but would lead to somewhat higher house prices.

Keywords: Access to credit; Macroprudential; Mortgages (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D13 D31 R21 R28 R31 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (4)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:jpolmo:v:43:y:2021:i:5:p:944-963

DOI: 10.1016/j.jpolmod.2021.03.013

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