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Increasing taxes on ‘bads’ and reducing them on ‘goods’: A double dividend hypothesis of carbon taxation

Gurleen Kaur Malhotra and Amlendu Dubey

Journal of Policy Modeling, 2025, vol. 47, issue 1, 118-133

Abstract: We analyse the effect of adoption of a carbon tax on the effective labour tax rates using a difference-in-difference framework in which we incorporate staggered treatment adoption and account for heterogeneous causal effects. We use data on 143 countries during 1985–2018. We conduct our analysis using DID estimation developed by Borusyak et al. (2024) and Callaway and Sant’Anna (2021) followed by sensitivity analysis and placebo tests. We find that enacting a carbon tax on an average lowers the labour tax rate by 1.32 % points. In country-specific analysis we find that carbon tax implementation is reducing labour tax by around 3.57 % for Sweden and Norway, however, the effect is insignificant for Denmark. Our findings indicate that implementing a carbon tax can help to reduce the tax burden on labour. Countries experiencing substantial welfare losses due to their present tax structure might implement carbon taxes as a means to mitigate these losses.

Keywords: Carbon taxation; Difference-in-difference; Labour taxation; Double-dividend hypothesis (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C23 E61 E62 Q01 Q28 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:jpolmo:v:47:y:2025:i:1:p:118-133

DOI: 10.1016/j.jpolmod.2024.11.002

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