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The macroeconomic determinants of volatility in precious metals markets

Jonathan Batten, Cetin Ciner and Brian Lucey

Resources Policy, 2010, vol. 35, issue 2, 65-71

Abstract: This paper models the monthly price volatilities of four precious metals (gold, silver, platinum and palladium prices) and investigates the macroeconomic determinants (business cycle, monetary environment and financial market sentiment) of these volatilities. Gold volatility is shown to be explained by monetary variables, but this is not true for silver. Overall, there is limited evidence that the same macroeconomic factors jointly influence the volatility processes of the four precious metal price series, although there is evidence of volatility feedback between the precious metals. These results are consistent with the view that precious metals are too distinct to be considered a single asset class, or represented by a single index. This finding is of importance for portfolio managers and investors.

Keywords: Commodity; prices; Gold; Macroeconomic; factors; Silver; Volatility (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2010
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (237)

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Working Paper: The Macroeconomic Determinants of Volatility in Precious Metals Markets (2008) Downloads
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