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Do commodity investors herd? Evidence from a time-varying stochastic volatility model

Vassilios Babalos, Stavros Stavroyiannis and Rangan Gupta

Resources Policy, 2015, vol. 46, issue P2, 281-287

Abstract: Commodities markets due to their unique characteristics that are they exhibit negative correlation with returns of traditional asset classes and are among the few assets that offer protection from the effects of inflation have recently garnered investors’ attention especially through the development of commodity index financial products. This financialization process that started in the early 2000s and escalated after 2004 has precipitated price comovements among various types of commodities creating a proper setting for the examination of herding behavior. Employing a comprehensive dataset of investable commodities indices we examine the existence of herding behavior via static and time varying models. Our findings reveal no evidence of herding behavior according to static model. However, when rolling window analysis is in place significant anti-herding behavior is detected. These behavioral patterns are corroborated through a time varying stochastic volatility model. Our results contain significant implications for investors, commodities producers and policy makers.

Keywords: Commodities; Herding; Time varying stochastic volatility (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: Q02 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2015
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (17)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:jrpoli:v:46:y:2015:i:p2:p:281-287

DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2015.10.011

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