The effect of temperatures on household electricity consumption in northern China: Evidence from smart meters

Tie Shi, Hanyi Chen, Junbing Xu and Xuebin Wang

Utilities Policy, 2025, vol. 96, issue C

Abstract: This paper uses daily household electricity consumption data collected by smart electricity meters to estimate the short-run temperature response in Jiaozuo City, Henan Province. Estimates from the flexible temperature bin model indicate that, on average, residential electricity demand increases by 22.7 % or more at temperatures above 27 °C relative to the reference temperature bin. Holding all else constant, a 1.5 °C increase in average temperature under the CMIP5 scenario would lead to a 5.9 % increase in residential electricity use by mid-century. Our results, although most precise for Henan Province, are nevertheless sufficiently generalizable to northern China.

Keywords: Climate change; Electricity consumption; Electricity temperature response function; China (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: Q41 Q54 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:juipol:v:96:y:2025:i:c:s0957178725001377

DOI: 10.1016/j.jup.2025.102022

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