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Loan renegotiation and the long-term impact on total factor productivity

Antonio Sánchez Serrano

Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), 2022, vol. 3, issue 4

Abstract: When a loan is close to becoming non-performing, banks have stronger incentives to renegotiate it in favourable conditions for the borrower (loan forbearance) rather than for recognising and resolving the non-performing loan. At the aggregated level and looking at borrowers (non-financial corporations), the preference for loan renegotiation may affect total factor productivity and aggregate productivity growth, as new entrants, typically using technologies that are more advanced, may be crowded out from bank funding by incumbent non-financial corporations (this would particularly be the case in the absence of well-developed financial markets). The empirical analysis finds that a wider use of loan renegotiation, seen through lower values of provisions to total loans, has a negative effect on the change of total factor productivity (in addition to the influence of consumption growth). These results provide useful insights when considering the resolution of non-performing loans and the long-term consequences on the real economy.

Keywords: Loan renegotiation; Non-performing loans; Total factor productivity; Loan forbearance (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D24 G21 G23 G32 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:lajcba:v:3:y:2022:i:4:s266614382200028x

DOI: 10.1016/j.latcb.2022.100074

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Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria) is currently edited by Manuel Ramos-Francia

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