A land use policy analysis method for natural hazard risk management across a regional single-family housing inventory

Caroline J. Williams, Rachel A. Davidson, Joseph E. Trainor, Meghan Millea and Linda K. Nozick

Land Use Policy, 2025, vol. 154, issue C

Abstract: Managing a region’s natural hazard risk while also meeting demands for new development can be challenging. New development supports local governments’ tax revenues and other economic activities but may also lead to longer-term natural hazard losses if new construction is left unrestricted. Government entities commonly use land use policies to influence the location of new development. We developed a new land use policy analysis method that aims to assist planners and risk managers in disaster risk management by evaluating long-term housing development outcomes under different land use policy scenarios to reduce long-term natural hazard impacts. The computational method analyzes the spatial distribution of new housing, expected natural hazard losses, and property tax revenue impacts for a multidecadal projection period and multi-county region under alternative regional land use policy scenarios. While different risk management land use scenarios can be generated using this analysis method, we illustrate the method’s usefulness by comparing baseline housing development patterns with three disaster risk management land use policy scenarios in eastern North Carolina. These 30-year projections can inform planners and risk managers about how land use decisions can alter their region and their state’s vulnerabilities to natural hazard losses as well as the expected changes in property tax revenues.

Keywords: Natural hazards; Land use planning; Disaster risk reduction; Housing (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0264837725000882
Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:lauspo:v:154:y:2025:i:c:s0264837725000882

DOI: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2025.107554

Access Statistics for this article

Land Use Policy is currently edited by Jaap Zevenbergen

More articles in Land Use Policy from Elsevier
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Joice Jiang ().