Diversification role of currency momentum for carry trade: Evidence from financial crises
Journal of Multinational Financial Management, 2019, vol. 49, issue C, 1-19
The main objective of this paper is to investigate the diversification role of currency momentum for carry trade crashes during the turbulent periods surrounding the 1997–1998 Asian financial crisis and the 2007–2008 global financial crisis. The motivation is to use an important tendency of momentum strategy to yield statistically and economically significant profits during crisis periods that are far higher than the crashes commonly experienced with the carry trade. I use an empirical heterogeneous agent model to design a new trading strategy which combines carry trade and momentum signals where the relative weight given to both signals is based on their past performance. The main finding is that the combined strategy is a good hedge with desirable diversification merits in times of financial stress. This evidence has important implications for the practices of currency portfolio management during times of heightened financial uncertainty.
Keywords: Exchange rate; Carry trade; Currency momentum; Currency hedging; Heterogeneous agent models (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G01 G14 G15 F31 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1) Track citations by RSS feed
Downloads: (external link)
Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.
Export reference: BibTeX
RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan)
Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:mulfin:v:49:y:2019:i:c:p:1-19
Access Statistics for this article
Journal of Multinational Financial Management is currently edited by I. Mathur and G. G. Booth
More articles in Journal of Multinational Financial Management from Elsevier
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Dana Niculescu ().