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Does geopolitical risk matter for corporate investment? Evidence from emerging countries in Asia

Anh-Tuan Le and Thao Phuong Tran

Journal of Multinational Financial Management, 2021, vol. 62, issue C

Abstract: This paper examines the effect of geopolitical risk on corporate investment in emerging Asian countries. Using an extensive sample spanning 1995–2018, we find that geopolitical risk is negatively associated with corporate investment. Geopolitical risks in China and Russia have a greater impact on corporate investment, while a less significant influence is found in India and Turkey. Our findings are robust to using alternative measures of geopolitical risk, using alternative proxies of investment, even after controlling for endogeneity concerns by a two-stage least square estimation, a system generalized method of moments regression, and the incremental effect of geopolitical risk. The adverse impact of geopolitical risk on firm investment is more pronounced for firms with a higher degree of investment irreversibility. However, firms with greater cash holdings can better mitigate this negative impact. Overall, this paper shows that geopolitical risk is a crucial macrolevel shock influencing corporate investment.

Keywords: Geopolitical risk; Corporate investment; Cash holdings; Investment irreversibility (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D81 E22 G11 G32 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (21)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:mulfin:v:62:y:2021:i:c:s1042444x2100027x

DOI: 10.1016/j.mulfin.2021.100703

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