Default risk and equity returns: Australian evidence

Philip Gharghori, Howard Chan and Robert Faff

Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 2009, vol. 17, issue 5, 580-593

Abstract: We test whether default risk is related to equity returns using the Fama and MacBeth [Fama, E.F., MacBeth, J., 1973. Risk, return, and equilibrium: empirical tests. Journal of Political Economy 81, 607-636.] regression framework. The proxy we use for default risk is the default probability obtained from option-based models. Our findings show that default probability is negatively related to returns. While we find that size and book-to-market are related to default risk, the ability of these variables to explain cross-sectional variation in returns is not because they are proxying default risk. Further, our evidence suggests that the negative relationship between default probability and returns is not due to a leverage, volatility or momentum effect.

Keywords: Default; risk; Asset; pricing; Fama-French; model (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2009
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (17)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:pacfin:v:17:y:2009:i:5:p:580-593

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