Asian sovereign debt and country risk
Anders Johansson ()
Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 2010, vol. 18, issue 4, 335-350
This paper analyzes systematic risk of sovereign bonds in four East Asian countries: China, Malaysia, Philippines, and Thailand. A bivariate stochastic volatility model that allows for time-varying correlation is estimated with Markov Chain Monte Carlo simulation. The volatilities and correlation are then used to calculate the time-varying betas. The results show that country-specific systematic risk in Asian sovereign bonds varies over time. When adjusting for inherent exchange rate risk, the pattern of systematic risk is similar, even though the level is generally lower. The findings have important implications for international portfolio managers that invest in emerging sovereign bonds and those who need benchmark instruments to analyze risk in assets such as corporate bonds in the emerging Asian financial markets.
Keywords: Asia; Sovereign; bonds; Systematic; risk; Stochastic; volatility; Markov; Chain; Monte; Carlo (search for similar items in EconPapers)
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (5) Track citations by RSS feed
Downloads: (external link)
Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
Working Paper: Asian Sovereign Debt and Country Risk (2009)
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.
Export reference: BibTeX
RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan)
Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:pacfin:v:18:y:2010:i:4:p:335-350
Access Statistics for this article
Pacific-Basin Finance Journal is currently edited by K. Chan and S. Ghon Rhee
More articles in Pacific-Basin Finance Journal from Elsevier
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Dana Niculescu ().