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Covered interest parity and arbitrage paradox in emerging markets: Evidence from the Korean market

Sangwon Suh and Young Ju Kim

Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 2016, vol. 38, issue C, 161-176

Abstract: While emerging forward exchange markets (EMs) have been rapidly developed, market efficiency has rarely been examined for EMs. To properly test the market efficiency for EMs, we set up a simple model to account for EM-specific realistic features. Based on the new model, we develop a modified covered interest parity (CIP) condition, which features multiple neutral bands associated with both transaction costs and differential borrowing costs. In addition, we apply the notion of ‘arbitrage paradox’ to test market efficiency. In particular, we focus not only on the violation event of the (modified) CIP condition but also on the persistence of arbitrage opportunities. We then apply this methodology to the Korean forward exchange market and provide empirical results for the Korean market, which can also be useful for analyzing other EMs.

Keywords: Covered interest parity; Arbitrage paradox; Emerging markets; Market efficiency (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F31 F41 G14 G15 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (5)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:pacfin:v:38:y:2016:i:c:p:161-176

DOI: 10.1016/j.pacfin.2016.04.003

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