Economics at your fingertips  

Dynamics between stock market movements and fiscal policy: Empirical evidence from emerging Asian economies

Duy-Tung Bui, Matthieu Llorca and Thi Mai Hoai Bui

Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 2018, vol. 51, issue C, 65-74

Abstract: Pro-cyclical fiscal policy has raised concern in many emerging economies due to its adverse consequences to the economic activities. This paper takes a different approach to the issue, which aims to examine the bidirectional relationships between fiscal policy and stock market activities, using a panel of 12 emerging Asia-Pacific economies from 1990 to 2015. We estimate a variety of Panel Vector Autoregressive models to test for the consistence of the results. The empirical results show that fiscal policies in these countries tend to a pro-cyclical path in responding to stock market movements. The pro-cyclical behavior is found with both government expenditure and government revenue. On the other hand, a fiscal consolidation attempt has a rewarding effect on stock prices.

Keywords: Financial market; Stock market; Fiscal policy; PVAR; Emerging markets (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations Track citations by RSS feed

Downloads: (external link)
Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link:

Access Statistics for this article

Pacific-Basin Finance Journal is currently edited by K. Chan and S. Ghon Rhee

More articles in Pacific-Basin Finance Journal from Elsevier
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Dana Niculescu ().

Page updated 2018-12-08
Handle: RePEc:eee:pacfin:v:51:y:2018:i:c:p:65-74